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Prokhorenkov A.M., Kachala N.M.

Forecasting models for control systems of heat-and-power engineering objects

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Abstract. Design and analysis of a forecasting model for safe operation of control system of an object have been considered. As an example the control system of supply water level in a stream drum boiler has been described. It has been shown that the method of exponential smoothing gives ability to estimate trend parameters characterizing not an averaged process level but a tendency taking place at a moment of the last observation.
Keywords:
Printed reference: Prokhorenkov A.M., Kachala N.M. Forecasting models for control systems of heat-and-power engineering objects // Vestnik of MSTU. 2011. V. 14, No 3. P. -.
Electronic reference: Prokhorenkov A.M., Kachala N.M. Forecasting models for control systems of heat-and-power engineering objects // Vestnik of MSTU. 2011. V. 14, No 3. P. -. URL: http://vestnik.mstu.edu.ru/v14_3_n45/articles/17_prohor.pdf.
(In Russian, p.6, fig. 3, ref 7, Adobe PDF)