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The editorial board of the "MSTU Vestnik" journal supports the «Open Access» policy which enables users to have free and unlimited access to scientific articles (to read, download, copy, distribute) in case the author is indicated when further quoted.

The academic periodical "Vestnik of MSTU" is available under the license Creative Commons «Attribution» (Attribution) 3.0 Unported (CC BY 3.0).

A.A. Kozyrev, Yu.V. Fedotova, O.G. Zhuravlyova

Probabilistic prediction of seismic hazardous zones in rockburst-prone ore mines of the Khibiny massif

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Abstract. The complex technique for seismic hazardous zones under conditions of rockburst-prone ore mines of the Khibiny massif has been developed; it is based on the combined use of different precursors of seismic emission flow. The obtained changes in number, configuration and location of the zones indicate character of the stress redistribution depending on the intensity of large-scale mining operation in rockbursts prone mines. The results of spatial and temporal prediction of the seismic hazardous zone basing on the identified precursor of changes of complex estimation values of the seismic activity local zone and virtual realization of the strong seismic event in the Yukspor deposit have been considered.

Keywords: rockburst-prone ore mines, mining-induced seismicity, seismic activity, seismic hazardous zone, probabilistic prediction

Printed reference: A.A. Kozyrev, Yu.V. Fedotova, O.G. Zhuravlyova Probabilistic prediction of seismic hazardous zones in rockburst-prone ore mines of the Khibiny massif // Vestnik of MSTU. 2014. V. 17, No 2. P. 225-230.

Electronic reference: A.A. Kozyrev, Yu.V. Fedotova, O.G. Zhuravlyova Probabilistic prediction of seismic hazardous zones in rockburst-prone ore mines of the Khibiny massif // Vestnik of MSTU. 2014. V. 17, No 2. P. 225-230. URL: http://vestnik.mstu.edu.ru/v17_2_n57/225_230_kozyrZhur.pdf.

(In Russian, p.6, fig. 4, tables 1, ref 11, Adobe PDF)