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Amosov P.V., Novozhilova N.V.

On Forecast of Future Glaciations in Terms of Disposal Safety of Radioactive Waste

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Abstract. From the point of view of disposal safety of radioactive waste, especially high radioactive waste, and also spent nuclear fuel, one of the tasks is forecast of glaciations which can render adverse influences both on a disposal site, and on waste. In the work the attempt is undertaken to consider an opportunity of recurrence of glacial periods for the 65-th parallel of the Northern Hemisphere in the future. Thus as the basic reason of climate change on the Earth the authors have accepted the so-called astronomo-physical hypothesis which explanes climate changes by space processes, in particular, the theory of Рњ. Milankovich. The received results show that the nearest appreciable glaciation is possible approximately in 16 ka, and comparable by the temperature parameters with the last glacial period taking place in the Earth (as Vurm-3) - approximately in 55 ka.

Printed reference: Amosov P.V., Novozhilova N.V. On Forecast of Future Glaciations in Terms of Disposal Safety of Radioactive Waste // Vestnik of MSTU. 1998. V. 1, No 3. P. -.

Electronic reference: Amosov P.V., Novozhilova N.V. On Forecast of Future Glaciations in Terms of Disposal Safety of Radioactive Waste // Vestnik of MSTU. 1998. V. 1, No 3. P. -. URL: http://vestnik.mstu.edu.ru/v01_3_n03/articles/17_amos.zip.

(In Russian, p.4, fig. 1, ref 8, MS Word 95, WinZip)